Campionato Quarter-finals
Global 5-0
Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 3
DOM
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
5 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
FOL
17%
24%
60%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 0
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |