Coppa Titano Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 2
TFI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 2
LIB
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 3
FIO
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 9
FIO
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 2
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DOM
0 - 1
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 1
TFI
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |