Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SGI
2 - 2
LIB
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
LIB
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DOM
0 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
36%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAI
4 - 1
MUR
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
LIB
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 4
DOM
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TPE
6 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 2
MUR
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |