Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 2
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
FIO
18%
23%
60%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 4
TPE
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |