Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 0
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 2
LIB
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 4
MUR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 3
MUR
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |