Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 1
LIB
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 3
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 3
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
3 - 1
LIB
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 0
MUR
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |