Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
PEN
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 4
TFI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 1
MUR
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
12%
23%
65%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |