Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
4 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 2
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 5
JUV
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 3
FAE
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
5 - 0
COS
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
FOL
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |