Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 3
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
FAE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAI
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 0
FOL
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |