Libertas vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 2
FOL
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 1
LIB
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 3
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 3
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 1
DOM
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
FIO
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
FIO
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
FAE
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 2
FIO
9%
20%
71%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |