Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 1-5
Libertas vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
70.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
FOL
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
PEN
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 4
TFI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
7 - 2
CAI
84%
11%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |