Libertas vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 3
DOM
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 2
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 2
FIO
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 4
FIO
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 0
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
10%
18%
73%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |