Libertas vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
MUR
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
LIB
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
TFI
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 2
TPE
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 3
FIO
11%
19%
71%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 5
FIO
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |