Libertas vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 1
SGI
77%
16%
6%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
4 - 1
LIB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 0
LIB
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
FAE
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
CAI
75%
18%
7%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
TFI
0 - 2
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 1
FAE
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 4
TFI
26%
22%
52%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DOM
0 - 0
FIO
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |