Libertas vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 2
LIB
26%
25%
48%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
4 - 0
TFI
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIB
6 - 0
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TPE
1 - 1
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |