Libertas vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 2
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
TPE
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
4 - 2
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 1
SGI
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 3
FIO
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
FAE
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |