Libertas vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 0
LIB
25%
22%
53%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 0
LIB
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
FIO
47%
24%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
TPE
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 7
VIR
23%
21%
57%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
DOM
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 3
FIO
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |