Libertas vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
CAI
75%
18%
7%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COS
3 - 3
LIB
31%
29%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
23%
25%
51%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TFI
0 - 1
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAE
0 - 4
COS
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 0
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
5 - 1
FAE
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
VIR
4 - 2
FAE
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -3 |