Libertas vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAI
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
LIB
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAI
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 0
MUR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 1
FAE
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FAE
4 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 0
FAE
62%
20%
17%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |