Libertas vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
LIB
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
FAE
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 3
FIO
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 0
FOL
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
MUR
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
DOM
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 3
COS
11%
21%
68%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |