Libertas vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 2
DOM
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
DOM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 1
DOM
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |