Libertas vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
LIB
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 0
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 0
LIB
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SGI
1 - 2
DOM
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 2
DOM
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 3
VIR
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 0
MUR
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
2 - 2
VIR
36%
25%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |