Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
56.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TFI
2 - 1
LIB
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
JUV
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TPE
5 - 1
LIB
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 1
LIB
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COS
3 - 0
VIR
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 5
COS
13%
20%
67%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 4
COS
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |