Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 3
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TFI
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
COS
2 - 2
DOM
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |