Libertas vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 3
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
FAE
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAI
78%
16%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 2
CAI
78%
15%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |