Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-1
Libertad vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 3
LIB
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
JLM
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LIB
5 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UCE
3 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 0
UCE
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
UCE
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 2
UCE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |