Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
1º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
3 - 0
2DE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
LQE
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
2DE
52%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 3
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |