Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIB
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
12O
2 - 3
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 2
RÑU
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |