Libertad vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 1
LIB
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
BOC
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
5 - 2
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 1
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
LQE
0 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |