Libertad vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 3
OLI
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
LIB
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
5 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
CCP
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
AME
1 - 6
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
0 - 3
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 3
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |