Libertad vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 0
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 3
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 3
LIB
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
LQE
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 2
SPO
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
GEN
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RÑU
3 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |