Libertad vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 1
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 3
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 5
RÑU
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
DEP
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
SPO
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |