Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
GEN
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
STR
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
LIB
26%
26%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
AME
3 - 1
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
56%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -4 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 4
LQE
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |