Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AME
4 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
RPA
70%
20%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 2
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 2
RÑU
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
LQE
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |