Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
IND
0 - 5
LIB
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 7
LIB
21%
26%
52%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 0
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 1
LQE
71%
19%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 0
RÑU
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
5 - 1
LQE
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 0
AME
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |