Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
LIG
1 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
12O
0 - 2
LIB
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
TAC
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
LQE
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
LQE
3 - 1
12O
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 1
LQE
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 0
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 0
LQE
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |