Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-1
Libertad vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 2
SPT
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
UCE
1 - 1
LIB
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPT
3 - 0
AME
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |