Libertad vs Sport Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 1
LIB
23%
29%
48%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
33%
28%
38%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 0
RÑU
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
OLI
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 0
SPC
71%
20%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LQE
1 - 1
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
SPT
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |