Libertad vs Sport Boys Warnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
RÑU
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
GOD
1 - 1
LIB
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
LIB
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 2
SBW
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SBW
3 - 1
JWI
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
SBW
1 - 5
ATM
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SBW
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
SBW
1 - 3
GOD
27%
25%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |