Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
DEP
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 5
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 0
AME
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |