Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPO
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 0
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
RPA
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AME
2 - 3
CCP
40%
25%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |