Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIB
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
12O
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
BSC
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AME
0 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AME
2 - 3
12O
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |