Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
12O
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
CCP
6 - 3
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |