Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIB
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 4
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
12O
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 2
AME
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |