Libertad vs Deportivo Santaní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Santaní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
FER
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 0
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
2DE
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDR
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
6 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |