Libertad vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 1
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
8 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
5 - 1
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
SLO
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 2
GOD
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SLO
4 - 1
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |