Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LIB
4 - 2
RÑU
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 1
LIB
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RÑU
4 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AME
2 - 2
RÑU
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
RÑU
3 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LIB
4 - 2
RÑU
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |