Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIB
25%
30%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CCP
3 - 0
RÑU
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
RÑU
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |