Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
25%
30%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 2
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
LQE
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
29%
29%
43%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 1
TAC
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
CCP
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 2
RÑU
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |