Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 1
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
41%
28%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 0
OLI
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 1
12O
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
RÑU
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AME
3 - 2
RÑU
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 0
2DE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |